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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
44.01% ( -3.58) | 25.66% ( 0.73) | 30.33% ( 2.85) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.86% ( -1.53) | 50.13% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( -1.38) | 72.1% ( 1.38) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -2.24) | 22.71% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( -3.44) | 56.37% ( 3.44) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 1.3) | 30.54% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 1.51) | 66.77% ( -1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.5)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.01% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.3)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.33% |
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