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CF
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
IM

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Vargas (13')
Westwood (4'), Malanda (24'), Vargas (61'), Meram (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gregore (18'), Miller (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Inter Miami

Charlotte have everything to play for heading into this one, and they will need no further motivation to turn on the style. We fancy the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin.

How to watch

You can watch Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawInter Miami
56.34% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.01% (0.203 0.2) 21.64% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 57.5% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (-0.688 -0.69)41.25% (0.679 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (-0.699 -0.7)63.64% (0.692 0.69)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.36699999999999 -0.37)14.49% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.706 -0.71)42.48% (0.697 0.7)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.2 -0.2)32.74% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.22 -0.22)69.3% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 56.34%
    Inter Miami 21.64%
    Draw 22.01%
Charlotte FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 21.64%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Houston
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, September 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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