SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.99%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for an Al Tai win it was 2-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Tai | Draw | Al-Hilal |
7.89% ( 0.17) | 13.15% ( 0.28) | 78.96% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.06% ( -0.83) | 29.93% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.89% ( -1.01) | 51.11% ( 1.01) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.23) | 44.84% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.19% ( -0.19) | 80.8% ( 0.19) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.02% ( -0.25) | 5.98% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.18% ( -0.71) | 22.82% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Tai | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 7.89% | 1-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.99% Total : 13.15% | 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 9.99% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 5.64% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 3.96% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 3.18% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)0-6 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)1-6 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.32% Total : 78.95% |
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