SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
51.33% ( 0.03) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.07) | 45.85% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.07) | 68.16% ( 0.07) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.02) | 17.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -0.03) | 48.66% ( 0.03) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.07) | 32.47% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.08) | 68.99% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.33% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.86% |
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