Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sakaryaspor had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sakaryaspor win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.04) 
