Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
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