Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.73%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.89%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
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