SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
80.27% ( 1.58) | 12.75% ( -0.57) | 6.98% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -3.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.27% ( -1.29) | 31.73% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( -1.52) | 53.24% ( 1.52) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.89% ( 0.03) | 6.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.83% ( 0.08) | 23.17% ( -0.08) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( -3.54) | 48.53% ( 3.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.38% ( -2.69) | 83.62% ( 2.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.83) 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.79)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.26)6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.15)6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.87% Total : 80.26% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 6.98% |
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