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Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
FS

PSV
2 - 1
Sittard

de Jong (25'), Simons (82')
Bakayoko (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gladon (4')
Duarte (30'), Pandur (45+2'), Cox (66'), Siovas (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

PSV Eindhoven have a fantastic record against Fortuna Sittard, having won 13 and drawn two of the last 15 meetings between the two sides, and they should have no trouble cruising to an easy victory on Sunday. Van Nistelrooy's side have the best home record in the division, collecting 40 points in 15 games, and they are very likely to take all three points in their penultimate match at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
87.28% (0.127 0.13) 8.48% (-0.056899999999999 -0.06) 4.24% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.78% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.22% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.19% (-0.133 -0.13)39.81% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.02% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)13.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.374 -0.37)48.57% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35% (-0.273 -0.27)83.65% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 87.28%
    Fortuna Sittard 4.24%
    Draw 8.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 10.53% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-0 @ 9.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.32% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.65% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 87.28%
1-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 8.48%
1-2 @ 1.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 4.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Spakenburg 1-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 4 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sittard
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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