Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
