Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
