Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
