Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Cercle Brugge	Draw	Genk
33.83% ( -0.06)	24.8% ( 0.11)	41.37% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-0.51)

45.18% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48% (

-0.5)

67.52% (

0.5)

Cercle Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0.28)

25.84% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.38)

60.8% (

0.38)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.25)

21.84% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

-0.37)

55.06% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Cercle Brugge 33.83%

Genk 41.37%

Draw 24.79%

Cercle Brugge	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.37%