SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.21% ( 0.01) | 19.38% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( -0.03) | 33.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.26% ( -0.04) | 55.74% ( 0.04) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( -0.01) | 31.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.79% ( -0.01) | 68.21% ( 0.01) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.55% ( -0.01) | 10.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.03) | 34.06% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.38% 2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.6% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.41% |
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