It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from a team's first pre-season match, especially against a side that have already started their domestic season. America will provide competitive opposition for Man City, but we are tipping the English champions to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Club America had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Club America win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Club America
73.02% ( 0.18)	16.12% ( -0.39)	10.86% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

2.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

2.66)

34.97% (

-2.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.05% (

2.91)

56.95% (

-2.91)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.72% (

0.7)

8.28% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.09% (

1.7)

28.91% (

-1.7)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.6% (

2.22)

42.4% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.22% (

1.85)

78.78% (

-1.84)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 73.02%

Club America 10.86%

Draw 16.12%

Manchester City	Draw	Club America
2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 5.64% 4-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.29) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.15) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.93% Total : 73.02%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.12%	1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.86%