America should be in the superior shape for this match, having already started their league campaign, while Chelsea have not been in action since beating Watford on the final weekend of the 2021-22 Premier League season. That said, we are expecting the Blues to shade a close contest on Saturday night.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Club America had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
0.64) 
-0.26) 
