As so many of Milan's key attackers are yet to resume training with the Rossoneri, Fonseca's first match in charge should not be an all-action affair with goals aplenty, although they still have strong midfield and defensive foundations.
As a result, an injury-hit Rapid Vienna side may have trouble breaking through, and the visitors can strike once to get Fonseca off to a winning start.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.