These clubs won one of their final five games in Serie A, and neither has any form of momentum heading into the post-season friendly.
With little on the line in Perth, we should see lots of entertainment at both ends, with both sides finding the back of the net in a high-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
-0.02) 
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