SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Leicester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.33%) and 0-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Liverpool |
35.07% ( 0.42) | 21.72% ( 0.03) | 43.21% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 69.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.02) | 29.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.18% ( -0.02) | 50.82% ( 0.02) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0.19) | 17.99% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( 0.32) | 48.85% ( -0.33) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( -0.17) | 14.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( -0.32) | 42.88% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.21% |
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