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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL

Southampton
1 - 2
Liverpool

Redmond (13')
Tella (69'), Stephens (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Minamino (27'), Matip (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Southampton 0-2 Liverpool

Southampton are certainly ending the season with a whimper but possess fond memories from their last South coast battle with Liverpool, who should be far from full strength for this one. However, Hasenhuttl's side are hardly full of confidence right now, and if Liverpool can actually hit the target this week, Klopp's rotated side will expect to cruise to victory and keep their title hopes alive regardless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
11.94% (0.105 0.1) 17.7% (0.175 0.18) 70.36% (-0.277 -0.28)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (-0.556 -0.56)39.62% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)61.97% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.33% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)43.67% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-0.161 -0.16)79.85% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.92% (-0.214 -0.21)10.08% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.79% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)33.21% (0.496 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 11.94%
    Liverpool 70.36%
    Draw 17.7%
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 3.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 11.94%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.7%
0-2 @ 11.58% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 5.08% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 70.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Southampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Southampton
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Southampton
Thursday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 14 at 4.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Spurs
Saturday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 27 at 8pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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