Salzburg were excellent in the first leg last month, but we are finding it difficult to back the Austrian side to advance on Tuesday evening. Bayern have so much attacking quality, and we fancy them to score three times to comfortably book their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
