Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
80.71% ( -0.11) | 13.03% ( 0.07) | 6.26% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 42.57% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% ( -0.17) | 36.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% ( -0.18) | 58.76% ( 0.19) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.97% ( -0.06) | 7.03% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.31% ( -0.16) | 25.7% ( 0.16) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.79% ( 0.01) | 54.22% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.59% ( 0) | 87.41% |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 80.7% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 13.03% | 0-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 6.26% |
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