SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Ajax |
27.67% ( 0.47) | 22.68% ( 0.04) | 49.65% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.18) | 38.28% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.19) | 60.56% ( -0.19) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( 0.42) | 26.35% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.56) | 61.5% ( -0.56) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.11) | 15.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( -0.21) | 44.74% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.65% |
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