Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
