While Le Havre's draw with PSG came about in heart-breaking circumstances, conceding so late on in the match, it will serve as a confidence booster to take a point from the champions, and we believe that will help them secure a point in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.41) 
