Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 61.86%. A win for Adelaide Raiders had a probability of 20.23% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Adelaide Raiders win was 2-1 (4.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
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