Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
