Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Barnet |
13.79% ( 0.02) | 18.15% ( 0.01) | 68.06% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.96% ( -0) | 37.04% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.77% ( -0) | 59.23% ( 0) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( 0.02) | 39.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.17% ( 0.02) | 75.83% ( -0.02) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% ( -0.01) | 9.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.09% ( -0.02) | 32.91% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.15% | 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% 1-5 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.06% |
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