Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Furiani-Agliani had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Furiani-Agliani win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
