Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
Result | ||
Rodez AF | Draw | Ajaccio |
46.33% ( -3.52) | 25.7% ( 0.87) | 27.97% ( 2.66) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.52% ( -1.72) | 51.48% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.71% ( -1.52) | 73.29% ( 1.53) |
Rodez AF Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( -2.23) | 22.2% ( 2.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.38% ( -3.47) | 55.62% ( 3.48) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( 1.22) | 32.97% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( 1.33) | 69.55% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Rodez AF | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.79) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.97% |
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