Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%).
0.18) 
-0.08) 
