There is little to play for heading into this weekend's contest, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless, with the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	NEC
30.09% ( 1.47)	24.36% ( 0.58)	45.55% ( -2.05)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

-1.8)

44.58% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

-1.76)

66.95% (

1.77)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

0.1)

27.91% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

0.12)

63.53% (

-0.12)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-1.55)

19.71% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

-2.59)

51.71% (

2.59)

Score Analysis

Almere City 30.09%

NEC 45.55%

Draw 24.36%

Almere City	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.09%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.55%