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Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 2
Almere City


Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robinet (80'), van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Almere City

Both sides have struggled from an attacking point of view so far this season, scoring just four goals in their opening six games, so Saturday's match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. However, given that they have home advantage, we expect a narrow victory for the hosts, which could move them out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
52.8% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.24% (0.112 0.11) 23.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.493 -0.49)44.18% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.483 -0.48)66.56% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.226 -0.23)16.72% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (-0.401 -0.4)46.63% (0.397 0.4)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.259 -0.26)32.32% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-0.296 -0.3)68.82% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 52.8%
    Almere City 23.95%
    Draw 23.24%
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Utrecht
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-4 FC Twente
Sunday, August 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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