Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
