Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.97%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.