Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 78.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Algeciras had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for an Algeciras win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.08) 
