Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.01) 
