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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
CL

Almeria
6 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (48'), Arribas (51', 86'), Zaldua (57' og.), Suarez Charris (65', 71')
Suarez Charris (21'), Embarba (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ocampo (30')
Hernandez (13'), Fali (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-2 Cadiz

With both sides already guaranteed to be relegated at the end of play, the pressure being off could lead to an entertaining watch for supporters. Almeria will be desperate to record their first win at the Power Horse Stadium this season, but we feel that Rojiblancos will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
40.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 32.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (0.055 0.05)54.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.044 0.04)76.21% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)62.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.051999999999992 0.05)31.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)67.59% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 40.1%
    Cadiz 32.84%
    Draw 27.04%
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Barcelona
Thursday, May 16 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Almeria
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, April 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, May 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca
Sunday, April 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-1 Cadiz
Saturday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga


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