Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
