Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
43.68% ( 0.06) | 27.85% ( -0.03) | 28.47% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.19% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.7% ( 0.08) | 59.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% ( 0.06) | 79.7% ( -0.06) |
Racing de Santander Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( 0.07) | 26.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( 0.09) | 62.31% ( -0.09) |
Real Zaragoza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( 0.02) | 36.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% ( 0.01) | 73.55% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Racing de Santander | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.47% |
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