SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Kortrijk |
78.45% ( 0.52) | 13.05% ( -0.28) | 8.5% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.64) | 26.87% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.81) | 47.33% ( -0.81) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.56% ( 0.22) | 5.44% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.71% ( 0.63) | 21.28% ( -0.63) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0) | 41.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( -0) | 77.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 5.29% Total : 78.45% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 13.05% | 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 8.5% |
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