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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FU

AZ
3 - 3
Utrecht

de Wit (15'), van Bommel (16'), Pavlidis (37')
Pavlidis (38'), Sadiq (51')
de Wit (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Boussaid (55'), Lammers (71'), Jensen (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

AZ have put together a strong end to the season and will be confident of rounding off on a high. We can see the home side getting the job done at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
64.95% (-1.653 -1.65) 19.09% (0.812 0.81) 15.95% (0.842 0.84)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.942 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.2% (-2.176 -2.18)36.8% (2.177 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-2.401 -2.4)58.97% (2.402 2.4)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-1.009 -1.01)10.65% (1.0101 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.49% (-2.31 -2.31)34.51% (2.313 2.31)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)36.12% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-0.336 -0.34)72.9% (0.337 0.34)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 64.95%
    FC Utrecht 15.95%
    Draw 19.09%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.65% (0.208 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.317 -0.32)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.208 -0.21)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.481 0.48)
2-2 @ 5% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.397 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.09%
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.206 0.21)
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.373 0.37)
0-2 @ 2% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, May 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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