Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Bath City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.