After losing their last three matches, Peterborough will view Tuesday's contest as an opportunity to return to winning ways against a struggling Port Vale side, and we think that Posh will ultimately do enough to claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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