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League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
WW

Port Vale
1 - 2
Wycombe

Chislett (47')
Ikpeazu (85'), Massey (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wheeler (4'), Lonwijk (86')
Lonwijk (43'), Grimmer (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers

Although Port Vale have lost their last two home games against Wycombe, they did take a point off the Chairboys in December's reverse fixture at Adams Park. With the teams currently level on 30 points, we think that two closely-matched sides will play out a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawWycombe Wanderers
38.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 26.92% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47%75.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 38.24%
    Wycombe Wanderers 34.84%
    Draw 26.91%
Port ValeDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Derby
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Wycombe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One


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