Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Niort had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (6.07%).
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