Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Niort had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
