Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.19) 
