Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Intercity had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Intercity win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.