Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0) 
